Right-hander Dylan Covey (0-0, 3.00 ERA), acquired on waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 20, will get his first start with the Phillies against Atlanta. Im betting the Braves light him up and put a heaping helping amount of runs on the board that will help us get over this total. Meanwhile, the Braves will send fire baller Strider to the hill. We love heavy fastball pitchers but he has  lost his past two decisions and allowed four runs in each of his two previous starts. In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Dodgers, Strider pitched six innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits, three walks and 11 strikeouts and Im also betting the Phillies sold offense should do some damage tonight,ATLANTA is 27-16 OVER  vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the board.ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER   after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER  as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 4 of a series.Over is 12-4-1 in Phillies last 17 vs. National League East.Over is 7-3-3 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.Play over

Right-hander Dylan Covey (0-0, 3.00 ERA), acquired on waivers from the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 20, will get his first start with the Phillies against Atlanta. Im betting the Braves light him up and put a heaping helping amount of runs on the board that will help us get over this total. Meanwhile, the Braves will send fire baller Strider to the hill. We love heavy fastball pitchers but he has  lost his past two decisions and allowed four runs in each of his two previous starts. In his most recent outing on Tuesday against the Dodgers, Strider pitched six innings and allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits, three walks and 11 strikeouts and Im also betting the Phillies sold offense should do some damage tonight,ATLANTA is 27-16 OVER  vs. an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season with a combined average of 9.2 rpg going on the board.ATLANTA is 11-1 OVER   after a game where the bullpen gave up no earned runs this season with a combined average of 12.1 rpg scored.ATLANTA is 11-3 OVER  as a home favorite of -150 or more this season with a combined average of 9.7 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 during game 4 of a series.Over is 12-4-1 in Phillies last 17 vs. National League East.Over is 7-3-3 in Phillies last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.

Cincinnati starter Ashcraft is 0-3 with a 12.98 ERA in his last four outings and  0-4 with an 11.88 ERA in four career starts against the Cubs and is fade material here once again in Chicago today. Meanwhile, the Cubs will send left-hander Drew Smyly (5-1, 2.93) to the hill . The Cubs hurler, has allowed two or fewer runs in nine straight starts, posting a 2.13 ERA during that stretch and deserves respect here as a favorite. SMYLY is 31-18 against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse in his career. (Team's Record) SMYLY is 15-4  against the money line when the money line is -100 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Reds are 9-24 in their last 33 road games vs. a left-handed starter.Reds are 2-6 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.MLB Home teams (CHICAGO CUBS) - ice cold hitting team - batting .175 or worse over their last 3 games against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 7.00 or worse over his last 5 starts are 27-9 L/5 seasons for  a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Cubs to win 

NYY starter Cole (5-0, 2.53 ERA) is on a run of six straight no-decisions,  since winning five of his first six trips to the hill. Of late , he has looked ordinary at best as is evident by a  4.67 ERA including allowing  six HRs in 27 innings of mediocre work and as a result the NYY are being over rated today. Meanwhile, the The Padres will start Yu Darvish (3-3, 3.67), who owns a  3-1 record along  with a 1.64 ERA in six career starts against the Yankees, and is a viable underdog selection that is backed by a solid bullpen and viable enough offense to find the win column. 

Padres are 18-8 in their last 26 inter-league road games vs. a right-handed starter like the NYY starter Cole. 

Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter like the Padres starter Darvish..Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 home games.

Play on San Diego to win