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Stephen Nover |
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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
WNBA | May 28, 2023 Lynx vs Aces |
OVER 169½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Aces are the highest scoring team in the WNBA averaging 97.3 points. They are shooting 51 percent from the floor and have an offensive rating of 113.6 through three games. The Lynx lack the defense to slow the Aces down. Their defense is hurt by their sloppy ball handling. Minneota is averaging 16 turnovers a game. Las Vegas played last night at home. The Aces rolled past the Sparks dominating them early. This allowed Vegas coach Becky Hammon to rest her starters. None of the Aces' starters logged more than 26 minutes. So I'm expecting a fresh Aces team, especially this early in the season. The Lynx play faster on the road. They are coming off a 90-81 road loss to Phoenix this past Thursday. The Over is 39-18 in Minnesota's last 57 away contests. The Over has cashed four of the past five times Las Vegas has hosted Minnesota. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 28, 2023 Phillies vs Braves |
Braves -1½ -130 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
Spencer Strider ws outstanding as a rookie last season and he's tough again this season with a 4-2 record and 2.97 ERA. Oh, yes, Strider also leads the majors in strikeouts with 97. Strider has dominated the Phillies with a 4-0 lifetime mark with a 1.27 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 21 1/3 innings. The Phillies have dropped 13 of their last 19 games to the Braves in Atlanta. Philadelphia has been held to three runs or fewer in eight of their last 13 games. I don't see Dylan Covey, making his first start with the Phillies, and a below average Phillies bullpen being able to keep this game close. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 28, 2023 White Sox vs Tigers |
UNDER 8 -115 |
Lost $115.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
There have been at least nine runs scored in each of the first three games of this series with all three games going Over. I see that streak snapping here in a pitching matchup of Dylan Cease against Eduardo Rodriguez. Cease is back on track after a slow start. He's 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last three starts. Cease was 2-1 versus Detroit last year with a 0.82 ERA. Lifetime against the Tigers, Cease has been dominant with a 10-1 record and 1.72 ERA in 13 starts. The lefthanded Rodriguez is 4-4 with a 2.19 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. He's 3-1 with a 1.69 ERA at home. Unlike the previous two seasons, the White Sox have just been average hitting against lefties. A couple of other factors that help the Under cause is the wind blowing in at 6-to-7 mph and that managers often use Sunday to rest some of their regular hitters. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 28, 2023 Giants vs Brewers |
Giants -123 at circa |
Lost $123.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
The Giants have been piling on the Brewers in this series. I'm going to join the pile. San Francisco has outscored Milwaukee, 23-2, in winning the first three games of this series. That's the way things were headed even before the series. The Giants are 21-12 since a 6-13 start, including winning 10 of their last 12. By contrast, the Brewers have dropped 20 of their last 33 games after opening the year 14-5. The Brewers are averaging 2.3 runs during their last dozen games. They are 1-for-18 with runners in scoring position in this series and missing shortstop Willy Adames, a key player for them. The pitching matchup heavily favors the Giants, too: Alex Cobb (4-1 with a 2.17 ERA) versus Colin Rea (0-3, 5.52 ERA). Rea has a 5.87 ERA in day games. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |